Baseline Move

November 7th, 2011 at 11:00AM

ilovecharts:

Statistically Speaking, according to QB Passer Rating, Aaron Rodgers is the best quarterback in the NFL right now.
Out of arguably the top 4 quarterbacks (chosen somewhat whimsically), based on rating, yards, completion percent, etc., Rodgers has a higher average rating than Brees, Roethlisberger and Brady (128.3 vs 100.4, 93.9 and 100.5) and has out-performed the other three weekly except for one week where Tom Brady was the top QB. This difference is statistically significant. A single-factor ANOVA on weekly passer ratings was significant at p = 0.0027 (F = 2.9). T-tests confirm that Rodgers significantly differed from Brees, Roethlisberger and Brady (p = 0.0045, 0.0011 and 0.0012, respectively) while Brees, Roethlisberger and Brady have average passer ratings that are statistically the same (lowest p = 0.57). In addition to his higher average rating, Rodgers performs more consistently than Brees Rothlisberger and Brady (Standard Deviation = 13.8 vs. 23.4, 23.9 and 19.21).
After performing these statistics, I realized that Eli Manning should have been included in the graphs, but his absence certainly doesn’t affect the results. Manning did out perform Rodgers in week 3 (145.7 vs 111.4) but throws at an average rating of 98.8 and is as consistent as Brees and Roethlisberger (SD = 22.9) with Rodgers performing significantly better on average (p = 0.002).
-arnndffr
I dig the research effort, but I’m not sure how good a measurement Passer Rating is anymore. I’m less versed in football advanced metrics than I am with baseball or basketball. Does anybody know the hip, sabermetric way to judge QBs?

Typically, people will look at things like Interception Percentage, Yards Per Attempt, and Sack% to determine how good a quarterback is at certain things, but the most commonly accepted ‘advanced’ statistic is DVOA from Football Outsiders.

Statistically Speaking, according to QB Passer Rating, Aaron Rodgers is the best quarterback in the NFL right now.

Out of arguably the top 4 quarterbacks (chosen somewhat whimsically), based on rating, yards, completion percent, etc., Rodgers has a higher average rating than Brees, Roethlisberger and Brady (128.3 vs 100.4, 93.9 and 100.5) and has out-performed the other three weekly except for one week where Tom Brady was the top QB. This difference is statistically significant. A single-factor ANOVA on weekly passer ratings was significant at p = 0.0027 (F = 2.9). T-tests confirm that Rodgers significantly differed from Brees, Roethlisberger and Brady (p = 0.0045, 0.0011 and 0.0012, respectively) while Brees, Roethlisberger and Brady have average passer ratings that are statistically the same (lowest p = 0.57). In addition to his higher average rating, Rodgers performs more consistently than Brees Rothlisberger and Brady (Standard Deviation = 13.8 vs. 23.4, 23.9 and 19.21).

After performing these statistics, I realized that Eli Manning should have been included in the graphs, but his absence certainly doesn’t affect the results. Manning did out perform Rodgers in week 3 (145.7 vs 111.4) but throws at an average rating of 98.8 and is as consistent as Brees and Roethlisberger (SD = 22.9) with Rodgers performing significantly better on average (p = 0.002).

-arnndffr

I dig the research effort, but I’m not sure how good a measurement Passer Rating is anymore. I’m less versed in football advanced metrics than I am with baseball or basketball. Does anybody know the hip, sabermetric way to judge QBs?

Typically, people will look at things like Interception Percentage, Yards Per Attempt, and Sack% to determine how good a quarterback is at certain things, but the most commonly accepted ‘advanced’ statistic is DVOA from Football Outsiders.